The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bournemouth 50.2%
Draw 25.4%
Millwall 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
23.8%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
24.5%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bournemouth's form might have worsened.
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millwall's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bournemouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millwall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.8%
9.4%
37.7%
Bournemouth - Millwall Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 28 - 52.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 20 - 37.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 39.4% – 66.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).
Bournemouth is Qualified for Premier League
Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (100%), has project points - 87, has currently - 85, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Millwall has the most likely position - 8 (67.93%), has project points - 70, has currently - 69, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality52, very small importance5, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 0.
Now both teams are in good shape.
Bournemouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.