Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Bournemouth		Watford

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.5
	2.8	3.35	2.6	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5
	2.92	3.28	2.63
	2.88	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.89	3.4	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.71)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
33.2%

Draw
29.2%

Watford
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

21.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bournemouth - Watford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs)).

Bournemouth has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Watford has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (59%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Recent matches Bournemouth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Watford in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 2 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
24.02.21	Bournemouth - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
20.02.21	Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
17.02.21	Bournemouth - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.02.21	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
24.02.21	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	2:3 ✺
19.02.21	Watford - Derby County	2:1 ✺
16.02.21	Preston North End - Watford	0:1 ✺
13.02.21	Watford - Bristol City	6:0 ✺
06.02.21	Coventry City - Watford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.10.20	Watford - Bournemouth	1:1
English Premier League
12.01.20	Bournemouth - Watford	0:3
26.10.19	Watford - Bournemouth	0:0
02.01.19	Bournemouth - Watford	3:3
06.10.18	Watford - Bournemouth	0:4
31.03.18	Watford - Bournemouth	2:2
19.08.17	Bournemouth - Watford	0:2

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