Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza, VOOsport World 1, VRT Canvas
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 5, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Claro Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Canal+, Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV5, TVI
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Braga		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4
	2.25	3.1	3.4
	2.4	3.2	3.25
	2.36	3.18	3.44
	2.33	3.19	3.47	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.4	3.19	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	3.4 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
41%

Draw
30.8%

Freiburg
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	27.8%	27.8%

Braga - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 16 - 44.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 28.2% – 60.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Freiburg (3.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 2. Gomez V. 14. Lagerbielke G. 15. Oliveira P. 6. Vitor Carvalho 29. Gorby 34. Tiknaz D. E. 8. Moutinho J. 10. Zalazar R. 21. Horta R. (C) 18. Victor P.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. (C) 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 20. Dorgeles M. 9. El Ouazzani A. 5. Lelo L. 90. Luisinho 70. Mordomo R. 39. Navarro F. 53. Noro J. 12. Sa T. (G) 96. Sousa A. 80. Vasconcelos	30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 17. Kubler L. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 26. Philipp M. 7. Scherhant D. 69. Tarnutzer R.
Coaches
Vicens C.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Tiknaz D. E. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Grifo V. ⚽, Beste J. (A),
16', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
18', Grifo V. 🟨,
26', Horta R. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
45+1', Lienhart P. 🟨,
45+2', Zalazar R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gomez V. 🟨,
72', Makengo J. 🟨,
72', Zalazar R. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
81', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
81', Suzuki Y. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Dorgeles M. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Braga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Freiburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Braga: Barisic A. (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Moscardo (Yellow Cards) Niakate S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodrigues D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Makengo J. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
26.04.26	Santa Clara - Braga	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Casa Pia - Braga	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Braga - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Betis - Braga	2:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.04.26	Braga - Arouca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTWW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
26.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.04.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	2:1 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Mainz - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWWW

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