Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

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	Freiburg		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	5	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.7	Watch
	1.66	4.4	5.2
	1.64	4.27	4.92	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.6
	1.67	4.25	5.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	4.2 ↓ (4.22)	4.91 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
57.7%

Draw
22.8%

Heidenheim
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	6.1%	9.1%

Freiburg - Heidenheim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 7. Scherhant D. 9. Holer L. 32. Grifo V. 31. Matanovic I.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 26. Behrens H. 16. Niehues J. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 17. Honsak M. 18. Pieringer M.
Substitutes
19. Beste J. 27. Hofler N. 22. Irie C. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 26. Philipp M. 14. Suzuki Y. 29. Treu P.	21. Beck A. 10. Conteh C. 40. Feller F. (G) 20. Kerber L. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L. 23. Traore O. H. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Manzambi J. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Niehues J. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Honsak M. (A),
68', Matanovic I. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
68', Scherhant D. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
68', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
70', Hofler N. 🟨,
72', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
76', Dorsch N. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
76', Honsak M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
78', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
85', Kubler L. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.

Freiburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Heidenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Fohrenbach J. (Injury) Gimber B. (Injury) Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Freiburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Mainz - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Freiburg - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	St. Pauli - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWLW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
11.04.26	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Heidenheim - Freiburg	2:1
08.02.25	Freiburg - Heidenheim	1:0
21.09.24	Heidenheim - Freiburg	0:3
11.05.24	Freiburg - Heidenheim	1:1
20.12.23	Heidenheim - Freiburg	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
08.05.16	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:0
27.11.15	Heidenheim - Freiburg	1:2

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