Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
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China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
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Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Dr-congo	RTNC
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
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Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
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Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
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Mali	ORTM
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Mozambique	TVM 1, TV Miramar
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Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
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Romania	Voyo
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
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Seyshelles	SBC 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	UTV
Turkey	beIN Sports 2 MAX
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Brentford		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.75	2.7
	2.37	3.70	2.75
	2.38	3.6	2.82
	2.48	3.72	2.85
	2.5	3.84	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.75
	2.51	3.74	2.86	Watch
	2.39	3.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.75)	3.71 ↓ (3.78)	2.77 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
39.5%

Draw
25.9%

Liverpool
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	23.5%	35.3%

Brentford - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Liverpool will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 2 - 50%). Liverpool (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Brentford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Brentford: Furo K. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gravenberch R. (Red Card) Leoni G. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Brentford: Collins N. (Calf Injury) Damsgaard M. (Ankle Injury) Dasilva J. (Muscle Injury) Milambo A. (Knock) Schade K. (Injury) Schuster J. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Liverpool: Gakpo C. (Ankle Injury) Isak A. (Thigh Injury) Szoboszlai D. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Brentford has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:22 (averaging 1.1:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brentford against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 2:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12:6	6	10
9	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 4.89% Brentford: 0.94%

Last Results with these Odds

Brentford - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
10.10.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Brentford - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Reading - Brentford	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTT
- Liverpool FC
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	LASK Linz - Liverpool	3:6 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Liverpool - Fulham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.05.26	Liverpool - Brentford	1:1
25.10.25	Brentford - Liverpool	3:2
18.01.25	Brentford - Liverpool	0:2
25.08.24	Liverpool - Brentford	2:0
17.02.24	Brentford - Liverpool	1:4
12.11.23	Liverpool - Brentford	3:0
06.05.23	Liverpool - Brentford	1:0

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