Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Brentford		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.75
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.8	3.55	4.9
	1.85	3.3	4.4
	1.88	3.45	4.83
	1.83	3.4	4.5
	1.88	3.42	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	4.65 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
51.7%

Draw
27.8%

Stoke City
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

17.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.7%	15.2%	15.2%

Brentford - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Premier League and 10).

Brentford has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (53%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Stoke has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English League Championship
24.02.21	Brentford - Sheffield Wednesday	3:0 ✺
20.02.21	Coventry City - Brentford	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	Queens Park Rangers - Brentford	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Brentford - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
10.02.21	Reading - Brentford	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Stoke City
English League Championship
24.02.21	Barnsley - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Stoke City - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
16.02.21	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Norwich City - Stoke City	4:1 ✺
06.02.21	Stoke City - Reading	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.10.20	Stoke City - Brentford	3:2
18.07.20	Stoke City - Brentford	1:0
English FA Cup
04.01.20	Brentford - Stoke City	1:0
English League Championship
21.09.19	Brentford - Stoke City	0:0
12.01.19	Brentford - Stoke City	3:1
11.08.18	Stoke City - Brentford	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.15	Brentford - Stoke City	2:0

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