Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport Arena
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV6
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Brighton & Hove Albion		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	1.18	8	13
	1.18	7.5	17	Watch
	1.18	7.5	13.25
	1.19	8.13	13.91
	1.11	7	12
	1.17	7.7	15.25
	1.19	7.6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	7.63 ↑ (5.18)	14.2 ↑ (9.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
80.9%

Draw
12.4%

AEK Athens
6.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.9%

18%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

17.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brighton & Hove Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Brighton & Hove Albion - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (60 of 69 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.01% – 94.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Steele J. (G) 6. Milner J. 29. van Hecke J. P. 3. Igor 30. Estupinan P. 7. March S. 11. Gilmour B. 22. Mitoma K. 13. Gross P. (C) 31. Fati A. 9. Joao Pedro	1. Stankovic C. (G) 29. Sidibe D. 24. Mitoglou G. 4. Szymanski D. 28. Hajsafi E. 13. Pineda O. 6. Jonsson J. 5. Amrabat N. 8. Gacinovic M. 11. Araujo S. (C) 7. Garcia L.
Substitutes
24. Adingra S. 20. Baleba C. 40. Buonanotte F. 8. Dahoud M. 41. Hinshelwood J. 14. Lallana A. 2. Lamptey T. 38. McGill T. (G) 34. Veltman J. 1. Verbruggen B. (G) 4. Webster A. 18. Welbeck D.	30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 25. Galanopoulos K. 20. Mantalos P. 3. Mohammadi M. 70. Pizarro R. 14. Ponce E. 12. Rota L. 99. Theocharis G. (G) 10. Zuber S.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Almeyda M.

Preview

Brighton & Hove is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches AEK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brighton & Hove is certain favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Moder J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in AEK: Garcia L. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
16.09.23	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4 ✺
12.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
17.09.23	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Volos - AEK Athens	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.08.23	AEK Athens - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
26.08.23	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
31.10.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	✺
English League Cup
28.10.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	✺
English Premier League
25.10.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	✺
- AEK Athens
Greek Cup
28.10.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	✺

Brighton & Hove Albion - AEK Athens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide