The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cagliari 37%
Draw 28.4%
Sampdoria 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
28%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
20.4%
52.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cagliari that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.4%
30.4%
39.1%
Cagliari - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 30.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 25% – 53.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
Cagliari has the most likely position - 20 (11.17%), has project points - 38, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 11 (8.56%), has project points - 46, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cagliari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sampdoria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sampdoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-12.
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