Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2, Stod 2 Sport 3, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Japan	Wowow Live
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 360, sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	RB Leipzig		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.5	3.7	1.98
	3.6	3.9	2	Watch
	3.65	3.92	2
	3.57	3.92	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.75	2
	3.71	4	2
	3.55	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	3.85 ↓ (4.07)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
26.7%

Draw
25%

Liverpool
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

23.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	19.7%	72.7%

RB Leipzig - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Liverpool will win (votes: 47 - 73.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 62.6% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gulacsi P. (G) 3. Geertruida L. 4. Orban W. (C) 23. Lukeba C. 39. Henrichs B. 8. Haidara A. 18. Vermeeren A. 7. Nusa A. 30. Sesko B. 10. Simons X. 11. Openda L.	62. Kelleher C. (G) 66. Alexander-Arnold T. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 8. Szoboszlai D. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 9. Nunez D. 18. Gakpo C.
Substitutes
19. Andre Silva 14. Baumgartner C. 5. Bitshiabu E. 6. Elmas E. 47. Gebel V. 44. Kampl K. 9. Poulsen Y. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)	95. Davies H. (G) 7. Diaz L. 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 56. Jaros V. (G) 17. Jones C. 80. Morton T. 98. Nyoni T. 78. Quansah J. 26. Robertson A.
Coaches
Rose M.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Lukeba C. 🟨,
12', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
23', Geertruida L. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Salah M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
74', Sesko B. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
74', Geertruida L. ↓, Bitshiabu E. ↑,
74', Vermeeren A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
74', Nunez D. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
75', Tsimikas K. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
75', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
78', Simons X. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
86', Haidara A. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,

Preview

RB Leipzig is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liverpool is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Liverpool will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Seiwald N. (Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Hamstring Injury) Chiesa F. (Injury) Elliott H. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Diogo Jota (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:9 (average 0:3).

Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Mainz - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	RB Leipzig - Juventus	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
22.09.24	St. Pauli - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWT
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
20.10.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Crystal Palace - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Liverpool - Bologna	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
28.09.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.09.24	Liverpool - West Ham United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.22	RB Leipzig - Liverpool	0:5
UEFA Champions League
10.03.21	Liverpool - RB Leipzig	2:0
16.02.21	RB Leipzig - Liverpool	0:2

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