Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	Celtic		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6
	1.47	5	6.5
	1.47	4.87	6.44
	1.42	4.52	7.19	Watch
	1.51	5.01	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	4.83 ↑ (4.38)	6.55 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
65.5%

Draw
19.9%

Sturm Graz
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.7%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

24%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	13.9%	16.7%

Celtic - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 53.2% – 84%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 7 - 70%). Sturm (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Sturm (13.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Sturm (4.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Celtic (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Sturm (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 8. Nygren B. 17. Iheanacho K. 23. Tounekti S.	40. Bignetti M. (G) 5. Oermann T. 47. Aiwu E. 24. Lavalee D. 17. Karic E. 21. Chukwuani T. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 8. Rozga F. 77. Malone M.
Substitutes
10. Balikwisha M. 28. Bernardo P. 51. Donovan C. 49. Forrest J. 24. Kenny J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 56. Ralston A. 36. Saracchi M. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 6. Trusty A. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun	22. Beck J. 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 20. Jatta S. 11. Kayombo A. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 23. Malic A. 2. Mitchell J. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Iheanacho K. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Horvat T. ⚽, Rozga F. (A),
26', Johnston A. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
56', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
58', Carter-Vickers C. 🟨,
59', Malone M. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
59', Rozga F. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Scales L. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
64', 2 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽, Engels A. (A),
70', Chukwuani T. 🟥,
78', Tounekti S. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
78', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
82', Horvat T. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Celtic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sturm is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Celtic: Inamura H. (Inactive) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Inactive) Simpson-Pusey J. (Inactive) Yamada S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Malic A. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Celtic: Bernardo P. (Illness) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Maeda D. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Injury) Christensen O. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celtic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
19.10.25	Dundee - Celtic	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Celtic - Motherwell	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Celtic - Braga	0:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
27.09.25	Celtic - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLTT
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.25	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Midtjylland - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.16	Sturm Graz - Celtic	0:1

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