Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	08:00	beIN Sports
Brazil	19:00	ESPN 4


	Cerro Porteño		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.6
	1.8	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.83	3.68	4.71
	1.79	3.68	4.71
	1.67	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.79	3.62	4.49	Watch
	1.78	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	4.54 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
53%

Draw
26.2%

Alianza Lima
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Cerro Porteño - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jean (G) 2. Benitez A. 4. Eduardo Brock 24. Baez C. 21. Arzamendia S. (C) 11. Iturbe J. 5. Morel J. 20. Viera W. 10. Dominguez C. 33. Peralta F. 9. Edu	1. Campos A. (G) 29. Ramos J. 5. Zambrano C. (C) 6. Garces R. 25. Huaman M. 27. Cabellos C. 10. Rodriguez S. 15. Castillo J. 2. Freytes J. 26. Serna K. 30. Waterman C.
Substitutes
17. Aguayo G. 34. Benitez M. 32. Cabanas V. 6. Carrascal R. 8. Carrizo F. 35. De Jesus R. 19. Diego Churin 40. Fernandez F. 1. Martin A. (G) 23. Oviedo A. 26. Piris R. 27. Riveros L.	4. Amasifuen N. 21. Aranda S. 23. Arias B. 9. Barcos H. 11. D'Arrigo J. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 18. De Santis J. 20. Fuentes A. 17. Neira C. 32. Saravia F. (G) 31. Vilchez Y. 7. Zanelatto F.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Viera W. 🟨,
36', Morel J. 🟨,
41', Peralta F. 🟨,
42', Castillo J. 🟨,
44', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Edu ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
54', Cabellos C. 🟨,
58', Zambrano C. 🟨,
64', Viera W. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
64', Dominguez C. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
69', Huaman M. ↓, Vilchez Y. ↑,
69', Waterman C. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
78', Morel J. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
78', Iturbe J. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
87', Cabellos C. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
87', Serna K. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
90', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Carrizo F. ⚽, Fernandez F. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.04.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.03.24	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Lima	0:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Alianza Lima - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
28.03.24	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.24	Alianza Lima - Blooming	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
13.03.24	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWL

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