Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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	Charlton Athletic		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	9.5	6	1.29	Watch
	9.5	5.5	1.28
	9.5	5.65	1.3
	9.2	5.6	1.27
	10.49	5.76	1.29
	9.5	5.25	1.25
	11	6.15	1.28	Watch
	9.2	5.6	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.74 ↑ (7.59)	5.69 ↑ (4.9)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
9.7%

Draw
16.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

19%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

18.6%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	6.9%	82.8%

Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 0.

Charlton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brighton & Hove is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brighton & Hove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brighton & Hove is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Charlton: Egbo M. (Injury) McGrandles C. (Injury) O'Connell E. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Moder J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Terell T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Webster A. (Knock) Welbeck D. (Knock)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
17.12.22	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.22	Stockport County - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League One
02.12.22	Charlton Athletic - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Charlton Athletic - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.11.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.11.22	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
05.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
29.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.18	Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
English League Championship
23.04.16	Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
05.12.15	Brighton & Hove Albion - Charlton Athletic	3:2
10.01.15	Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1
30.08.14	Brighton & Hove Albion - Charlton Athletic	2:2
12.04.14	Brighton & Hove Albion - Charlton Athletic	3:0
26.12.13	Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2

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