Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 32

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Carlisle United		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.57
	5.25	3.9	1.6
	5.5	4	1.6	Watch
	5.3	3.9	1.57
	6.04	4.19	1.58
	5.5	3.9	1.57
	5.45	4.05	1.61	Watch
	5.6	3.95	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.9)	3.99 ↑ (3.78)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
16.9%

Draw
23.5%

Portsmouth
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.9%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.6%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carlisle United - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lewis H. (G) 2. Back F. 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 19. Robinson J. 36. Vela J. 33. Neal H. 7. Gibson J. 35. Armstrong L. 27. Diamond J.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 18. Shaughnessy C. 20. Raggett S. 6. Ogilvie C. 26. Lowery T. 7. Pack M. (C) 44. Peart-Harris M. 49. Lang C. 32. Lane P. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
3. Armer J. 13. Breeze G. (G) 11. Butterworth D. 15. Charters T. 34. Grehan S. 24. Maguire S. 10. McCalmont A.	25. Kamara A. 13. Macey M. (G) 29. Martin J. 23. Moxon O. 21. Sparkes J. 4. Towler R. 19. Yengi K.
Coaches
Simpson P.	Mousinho J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0.

Carlisle has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portsmouth is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League One
03.02.24	Leyton Orient - Carlisle United	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers	1:4 ✺
16.01.24	Barnsley - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Carlisle United - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
06.01.24	Exeter City - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
03.02.24	Portsmouth - Northampton Town	4:1 ✺
30.01.24	Oxford United - Portsmouth	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Port Vale - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.10.23	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	1:0
English League Two
25.02.17	Carlisle United - Portsmouth	0:3
06.08.16	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	1:1
02.04.16	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	1:0
21.11.15	Carlisle United - Portsmouth	2:2
03.04.15	Carlisle United - Portsmouth	2:2
01.11.14	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	3:0

Upcoming Matches