The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 51.3%
Draw 26.7%
Crewe Alexandra 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
26.2%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
17.6%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crewe Alexandra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charlton Athletic - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Charlton has the most likely position - 10 (5.26%), has project points - 62, has currently - 1, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (11.75%), has project points - 50, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Charlton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Crewe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Charlton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
In this match Charlton is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.