The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 55%
Draw 25.6%
Crewe Alexandra 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
26.2%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
20.9%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76%
12%
12%
Oxford United - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 59.3% – 92.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Oxford has the most likely position - 2 (10.03%), has project points - 77, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Crewe has the most likely position - 22 (7.66%), has project points - 53, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oxford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Crewe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
In this match Oxford is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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