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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 52.3%
Draw 26.1%
Porto 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
24.9%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.2%
18.4%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.2%
4.4%
4.4%
Chelsea - Porto Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chelsea will win
(207 of 227 users predict this - 91.19%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.5% – 94.88%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
2nd leg. No spectators. Neutral location - Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. 1st leg result: 2-0.
Chelsea was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a very good chance of semis (98%), has a chance of final (47%), has a chance of win league (19%).
Porto was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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