Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Comerciantes Unidos		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.15	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.25
	2.03	3.38	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.86	3.41	4.21	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.22)	3.36 ↑ (3.12)	3.92 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
48.8%

Draw
27.6%

Moquegua
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Unidos's performance.

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Comerciantes Unidos - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Moquegua will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comerciantes Unidos: 78.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Comerciantes Unidos will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. 19. Lino D. 5. Correa Flores C. A. 4. Arias A. 8. Ayovi W. 25. Vilca R. 11. Herrera J. 9. Sen M. (C)	29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 15. Amasifuen N. 4. Perleche A. 14. Ramirez C. 13. Lojas J. (C) 10. Chavez N. 8. Mejia C. 7. Lastre E. 17. Zapata Y. 11. Bryan Angulo
Substitutes
10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 7. Carranza M. 99. Charun J. (G) 15. Cossio A. 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 2. Vilchez Y.	25. Chipao R. 90. Collazos J. 16. Davila A. 3. Enciso C. 12. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 28. Lopez J. 24. Moreno K. 20. Ramirez D. 5. Rivera B.
Coaches
Biaggio C.	Serna J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lastre E. 🟨,
45+1', Herrera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Vilca R. ⚽, F. Rojas (A),
55', Ayovi W. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
64', Perleche A. 🟨,
66', Zapata Y. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
68', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
75', Sen M. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
75', Herrera J. ↓, Carpio Ferro M. P. ↑,
78', Mejia C. ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
78', Chavez N. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
84', Correa Flores C. A. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
84', Vilca R. ↓, Vilchez Y. ↑,
86', Ramirez C. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
86', Lastre E. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
86', Lino D. 🟨,

Preview

Comerciantes Unidos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Comerciantes Unidos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Saavedra C. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.11.25	Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Unidos	Abandoned ✺
01.11.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:4 ✺
24.10.25	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TT?LW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
16.11.25	Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Unión Comercio - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWLWT

Comerciantes Unidos - Moquegua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide