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Current Win Probability
Concarneau 48.1%
Draw 28.8%
Bastia 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
27.6%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Concarneau - Bastia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 12th).
Concarneau has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bastia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bastia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Concarneau for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Concarneau in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Concarneau has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Concarneau against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
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