Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 17

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Suriname	SCCN
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Corinthians		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.3	5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.8
	1.82	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.87	3.42	5.06
	1.84	3.47	4.61	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.6
	1.88	3.31	4.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.88)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	4.76 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
51.8%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético Mineiro
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 49. Andre 14. Raniele 7. Breno Bidon 77. Lingard J. 8. Garro R. (C) 9. Yuri Alberto	22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 6. Alonso J. 28. Cuello 21. Franco A. 8. Maycon 16. Lodi R. 30. Victor Hugo 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M.
Substitutes
29. Allan 5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 10. Depay M. 61. Dieguinho 37. Kaio Cesar 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.	5. Alexsander 29. Caua 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 13. Lyanco 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Diniz F.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Cuello 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lingard J. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
55', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
61', Andre ↓, Depay M. ↑,
61', Raniele ↓, Allan ↑,
62', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
67', Victor Hugo ↓, Minda A. ↑,
77', Garro R. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
79', Bernard ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
81', Breno Bidon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Labyad Z. ⚽, Matheuzinho (A),
90+1', Franco A. ↓, Caua ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.

Corinthians has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Kayke (Knee Injury) Matheus Bidu (Inactive) Vitinho (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Gustavo Scarpa (Knee Injury) Patrick Silva (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Ruan Tressoldi (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Atletico-MG	29	12	8	9	39:34	5	44
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Copa Libertadores
21.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Corinthians - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Corinthians - São Paulo	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWT
- Atlético Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Ceará - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
18.10.25	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
24.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	0:0
28.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	2:1
14.04.24	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
09.11.23	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	1:1
08.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1
Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	3:0 penalties

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