Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Covilhã		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	3	2.88	2.4
	2.95	2.9	2.47
	3.1	2.98	2.6
	3	2.9	2.55
	2.89	3.13	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	3 ↓ (3.03)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
31.5%

Draw
31%

Estoril Praia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

21.9%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Covilhã - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primeira Liga).

Estoril is Qualified for Primeira Liga

Covilhã is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Estoril is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
08.05.21	Benfica B - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
02.05.21	Covilhã - Leixões	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	Mafra - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
19.04.21	Covilhã - Arouca	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Chaves - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLL
- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
08.05.21	Estoril Praia - Chaves	1:1 ✺
02.05.21	Penafiel - Estoril Praia	0:0 ✺
23.04.21	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Porto B - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Estoril Praia - Vilafranquense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.01.21	Estoril Praia - Covilhã	0:0
11.01.20	Covilhã - Estoril Praia	1:0
07.04.19	Covilhã - Estoril Praia	1:2
08.12.18	Estoril Praia - Covilhã	1:0
Portuguese League Cup
21.01.15	Covilhã - Estoril Praia	3:2

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