Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Crawley Town		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	15	7	1.2	Watch
	13	6.75	1.18
	14.5	7.2	1.2	Watch
	13	6.6	1.19
	12.5	6.62	1.21
	13	6.5	1.2	Watch
	13	6.85	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.43 ↑ (8.58)	6.79 ↑ (5.14)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
7.1%

Draw
13.9%

Leeds United
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

18.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

9.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-40.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	6.9%	55.2%

Crawley Town - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crawley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leeds is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leeds is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
02.01.21	Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
29.12.20	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.20	Crawley Town - Newport County	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
15.12.20	Crawley Town - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTWT
- Leeds United
English Premier League
02.01.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
29.12.20	West Bromwich Albion - Leeds United	0:5 ✺
27.12.20	Leeds United - Burnley	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Manchester United - Leeds United	6:2 ✺
16.12.20	Leeds United - Newcastle United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW

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