Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday


	Cruzeiro		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.15	3	3.2	Watch
	2.13	2.85	3.7
	2.23	2.96	4.03
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.17	3.13	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	2.99 ↑ (2.99)	3.52 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
42.8%

Draw
30.9%

Avaí
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

21.4%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cruzeiro - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avaí is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
10.07.21	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	3:3 ✺
06.07.21	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
03.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
30.06.21	Cruzeiro - Guarani	3:3 ✺
27.06.21	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTTL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
13.07.21	Avaí - Confiança	2:1 ✺
06.07.21	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:0 ✺
03.07.21	Avaí - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
30.06.21	Londrina - Avaí	1:3 ✺
25.06.21	Avaí - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.12.20	Avaí - Cruzeiro	1:1
25.09.20	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
18.11.19	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:0
11.08.19	Avaí - Cruzeiro	2:2
15.11.17	Cruzeiro - Avaí	2:2
23.07.17	Avaí - Cruzeiro	1:0
31.10.15	Avaí - Cruzeiro	1:1

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