Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Cumbayá		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.56	2.92	2.85
				Watch
	2.6	2.88	2.75
	2.49	2.88	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.47)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	2.79 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
35.8%

Draw
31.5%

Leones del Norte
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Cumbayá - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Recent form of Cumbayá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leones del Norte is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cumbayá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.25	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:3 ✺
29.05.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
22.05.25	Cumbayá - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Vargas Torres - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.06.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
03.06.25	9 de Octubre - Leones del Norte	1:0 ✺
27.05.25	Leones del Norte - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
21.05.25	Leones del Norte - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
09.04.25	Leones del Norte - Cumbayá	1:1

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