Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	18:30	Liga 1 Max
Usa	19:30	SportsEngine Play


	Cusco		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.00	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.00	5.75
	1.49	4.25	6.10	Watch
	1.48	4.17	7.01
	1.51	4.17	6.2	Watch
	1.49	4.10	6.10
	1.52	4.06	6.04	Watch
	1.46	4.00	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	4.09 ↑ (3.68)	6.18 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
62.4%

Draw
22.6%

Alianza Atlético
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

25.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cusco - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 3. Lagos R. 14. Diez C. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 9. Callejo F.	31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 21. Perleche E. 25. Guzman W. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 23. Munoz A. 22. del Castillo J. 20. Perez J. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A.
Substitutes
15. Bolivar J. 37. Choi G. 2. Gamarra C. 99. Miguel Silveira 55. Montano C. 26. Silva N. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)	99. Barreda M. 8. Flores F. 27. Ingratti J. 19. Mendieta J. 29. Molina J. 17. Penilla C. 95. Prieto D. (G) 2. Suarez R. 77. Valladolid C.
Coaches
Rabanal J.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Manzaneda J. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
30', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
30', Guzman W. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Colman I. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Perez J. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
46', Lupu H. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
46', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Ingratti J. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Penilla C. ⚽,
59', Manzaneda J. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
71', Diez C. ↓, Valenzuela O. ↑,
71', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
79', Munoz A. ↓, Molina J. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Callejo F. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
84', 4 - 1, Silva N. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
86', Colman I. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
86', Soto D. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
87', del Castillo J. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.

Cusco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alianza Atlético is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cusco has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cusco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	12	6	0	6	21:18	3	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cusco	4:3 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	ADT Tarma - Cusco	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Flamengo - Cusco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTWL
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Alianza Atlético - Pirata	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
01.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	1:0
17.08.25	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	1:0
28.03.25	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	2:4
15.08.24	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	1:1
07.03.24	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	2:0
22.07.23	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	2:0
19.02.23	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	2:1

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