Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.55	2.25
	3.36	3.54	2.23
	3.1	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.37	3.55	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.62)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	2.23 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
29.6%

Draw
27.4%

Augsburg
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darmstadt's form might have worsened.

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Augsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darmstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Augsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	17.4%	56.5%

Darmstadt - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Augsburg will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 20. Muller J. 28. Franjic B. 5. Maglica M. 19. Karic E. 27. Skarke T. 23. Gjasula K. 32. Holland F. (C) 17. Justvan J. 24. Pfeiffer L. 40. Polter S.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 19. Uduokhai F. 22. Iago 24. Jensen F. 17. Jakic K. 10. Maier A. 16. Vargas R. 21. Tietz P. 9. Demirovic E. (C)
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 25. Holtmann G. 3. Isherwood T. 11. Kempe T. 16. Muller A. 22. Seydel A. 42. Torsiello F. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 4. Zimmermann C.	23. Bauer M. 7. Beljo D. 11. Biel P. 30. Dorsch N. 27. Engels A. 2. Gumny R. 40. Koubek T. (G) 20. Michel S. 8. Rexhbecaj E.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Thorup J.

Preview

Darmstadt is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Augsburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Augsburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Muscle Injury) Honsak M. (Illness) Hornby F. (Ankle Injury) Mehlem M. (Calf Injury) Muller J. (Muscle Injury) Nurnberger F. (Ankle Injury) Riedel C. (Broken ankle) Schnellhardt F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Framberger R. (Knee Injury) Oxford R. (Illness) Pfeiffer P. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Manu B. M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
24.02.24	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Darmstadt - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Union Berlin - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTLL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
25.02.24	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mainz - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Bochum - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
07.10.23	Augsburg - Darmstadt	1:2
25.02.17	Darmstadt - Augsburg	1:2
24.09.16	Augsburg - Darmstadt	1:0
12.03.16	Darmstadt - Augsburg	2:2
17.10.15	Augsburg - Darmstadt	0:2

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