Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	7	5.25	1.4	Watch
	7.5	4.8	1.4	Watch
	7.5	5	1.42	Watch
	7.5	5	1.44
	7.36	5.19	1.42
	7	5	1.36	Watch
	7.7	5.13	1.45	Watch
	7.6	4.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.4 ↑ (5.88)	5.03 ↑ (4.48)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
13%

Draw
19.1%

Stuttgart
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

21.2%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

20.1%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stuttgart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	4.7%	83.7%

Darmstadt - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 4. Zimmermann C. 23. Gjasula K. 14. Klarer C. 26. Bader M. 6. Mehlem M. 32. Holland F. (C) 19. Karic E. 17. Justvan J. 40. Polter S. 24. Pfeiffer L.	1. Bredlow F. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 2. Anton W. (C) 21. Ito H. 7. Mittelstadt M. 18. Leweling J. 16. Karazor A. 6. Stiller A. 27. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 28. Franjic B. 3. Isherwood T. 16. Muller A. 15. Nurnberger F. 8. Schnellhardt F. 22. Seydel A. 42. Torsiello F. 29. Vilhelmsson O.	5. Dahoud M. 25. Egloff L. 17. Haraguchi G. 10. Jeong Woo-Yeong 32. Massimo R. 8. Millot E. 41. Seimen D. (G) 20. Stergiou L. 4. Vagnoman J.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Hoeness S.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1.

Darmstadt is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stuttgart is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stuttgart could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stuttgart is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
10.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Union Berlin - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Darmstadt - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Darmstadt - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLTL
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
11.02.24	Stuttgart - Mainz	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
06.02.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
03.02.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	5:2 ✺
20.01.24	Bochum - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.09.23	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	3:1
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
28.06.20	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	1:3
16.12.19	Darmstadt - Stuttgart	1:1
German Bundesliga
02.04.16	Darmstadt - Stuttgart	2:2
01.11.15	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	2:0
Club Friendly
16.07.14	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	2:1

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