Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.57	Watch
	4.5	4.6	1.62
	4.75	5	1.6	Watch
	4.72	4.84	1.65
	4.87	4.91	1.61
	4.6	4.75	1.57	Watch
	4.93	4.93	1.64	Watch
	4.75	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (3.89)	4.82 ↑ (4.24)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
20.3%

Draw
19.9%

Hoffenheim
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

22.5%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	3.8%	92.3%

Darmstadt - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (47 of 51 users predict this - 92.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.78% – 99.54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Brunst A. (G) 5. Maglica M. 14. Klarer C. 20. Muller J. 15. Nurnberger F. 6. Mehlem M. (C) 19. Karic E. 17. Justvan J. 18. Honsak M. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 27. Skarke T.	1. Baumann O. (C) 5. Kabak O. 11. Grillitsch F. 25. Akpoguma K. 3. Kaderabek P. 16. Stach A. 21. Bulter M. 6. Promel G. 27. Kramaric A. 9. Bebou I. 14. Beier M.
Substitutes
23. Gjasula K. 25. Holtmann G. 3. Isherwood T. 11. Kempe T. 16. Muller A. 24. Pfeiffer L. 8. Schnellhardt F. 1. Schuhen M. (G) 22. Seydel A.	20. Becker F. O. 39. Bischof T. 23. Brooks J. A. 35. Drexler T. 19. Jurasek D. 37. Philipp L. (G) 29. Skov R. 40. Tohumcu U. 10. Weghorst W.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
2', 0 - 1, Bebou I. ⚽, Grillitsch F. (A),
6', 0 - 2, Beier M. ⚽, Kaderabek P. (A),
22', 0 - 3, Kaderabek P. ⚽, Grillitsch F. (A),
26', 0 - 4, Kabak O. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
44', 0 - 5, Beier M. ⚽, Bebou I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stach A. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
46', Kabak O. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
46', Honsak M. ↓, Gjasula K. ↑,
46', Vilhelmsson O. ↓, Seydel A. ↑,
51', 0 - 6, Bebou I. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
53', Muller J. 🟨,
56', Nurnberger F. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
68', Skarke T. 🟨,
72', Skarke T. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
72', Bulter M. ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
72', Beier M. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
75', Gjasula K. 🟨,
81', Karic E. ↓, Kempe T. ↑,
85', Bebou I. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 8).

Darmstadt is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
04.05.24	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Köln - Darmstadt	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Darmstadt - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Mainz - Darmstadt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
03.05.24	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Bochum - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:3 ✺
13.04.24	Mainz - Hoffenheim	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.12.23	Hoffenheim - Darmstadt	3:3
18.02.17	Hoffenheim - Darmstadt	2:0
20.09.16	Darmstadt - Hoffenheim	1:1
07.02.16	Hoffenheim - Darmstadt	0:2
29.08.15	Darmstadt - Hoffenheim	0:0

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