The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 52.9%
Draw 26%
Unión San Felipe 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.2%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
22.7%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Deportes Magallanes - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Zozaya J. P. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 30. Salinas Flores H. 6. James J. 16. Osorio M. 5. Liuzzi B. 7. Toledo A. 29. Sepulveda M. 11. Fredes M. 23. Alegre M.
12. Canete L. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 34. Suarez C. (C) 2. Perales V. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 24. Galleguillos M. 33. Gonzalez B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 18. Munoz P. 9. Aravena B.
Substitutes
19. Farfan R. 28. Guzman G. 22. Meneses C. 1. Munoz J. (G) 20. Neira E. 40. Serpa I. 24. Yanez F.
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 16. Fuentes D. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 7. Henriquez O. 6. Leon A. 32. Lobos F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Galleguillos M. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
57', Munoz P. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
57', Fredes M. ↓, Farfan R. ↑,
57', Liuzzi B. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
68', Alegre M. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
68', Osorio M. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
76', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
79', Bravo D. 🟨,
90+1', Serpa I. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 3.
Magallanes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Unión San Felipe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Magallanes is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).