The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 46.3%
Draw 27.5%
Universidad de Concepción 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
29%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
27.1%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Santa Cruz's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Deportes Santa Cruz - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Dobboletta J. (G) 30. Moreno C. 5. Cavero H. 6. Munoz L. 16. Rodriguez G. 14. Urzua D. 22. Caroca I. (C) 25. Castillo C. 24. Maturana M. 19. Alegre M. 42. Moreno M.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 30. Saez B. 18. Ubal B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 16. Ogaz B. 10. Fuentealba J. 22. Rojas L. 25. Salgado H. 9. Levato M. 11. Gonzalez I.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez B. 43. Belmar M. 1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Carreno J. 4. Contreras J. J. 23. Contreras S. 41. Plaza D.
28. Herrera I. 14. Medina C. 3. Meza I. 7. Molina S. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Alegre M. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Fuentealba J. ⚽,
24', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
34', Alegre M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
45+1', Ubal B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maturana M. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
51', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
60', Munoz L. 🟨,
61', Moreno C. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
61', Castillo C. ↓, Carreno J. ↑,
73', Salgado H. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
74', Ogaz B. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
77', Urzua D. ↓, Belmar M. ↑,
77', Rojas L. ↓, Meza I. ↑,
81', Campestrini C. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', Moreno M. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
90', Saez B. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1.
Recent performances by Deportes Santa Cruz have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Concepción's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Santa Cruz might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Watch
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Dobboletta J. (G) 
Moreno C. 
Rodriguez G. 
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