The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Macará 44.1%
Draw 29.8%
Vinotinto 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
28.9%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
27.3%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 100% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Macará (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Macará will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Correa C. (G) 6. Caicedo B. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 19. Munoz A. 9. Juambeltz M. 15. Tello M. 16. Cazares J. 27. Mohor J. 21. Ledesma A. 70. Gonzalez P.
25. Mitre L. (G) 36. Nardelli G. 4. Aguirre A. (C) 2. Iriarte I. 23. Gomez L. 15. Larotonda C. 40. Mera F. 11. Mina A. 10. Luna D. 18. Ushina K. 17. Monti R.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez L. 13. Ayala M. 30. Cabeza M. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 33. Chere A. 51. Fleitas T. 4. Jimenez J. 20. Viera M. 29. Zambrano R. 26. Zamora S.
8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 53. Conforme W. 26. Hernandez E. 52. Julio M. 1. Lopez J. (G) 7. Lugo J. 9. Molina N. 6. Ona C.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.
Grabowski J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Munoz A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Ushina K. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
56', Iriarte I. 🟨,
66', Monti R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
73', Tello M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
79', Iriarte I. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
79', Mera F. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
79', Luna D. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
81', Munoz A. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
88', Gonzalez P. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
88', Correa C. 🟨,
90+6', Larotonda C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
Recent performances by Macará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Macará could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
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Correa C. (G) 
Caicedo B. 
Marrufo J. (C) 
Juambeltz M. 
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