Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)


	Deportivo Maldonado		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.4
	2.12	2.92	3.35
	2.13	2.98	3.61
				Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.11	2.97	3.47
	2	2.88	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.4)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	3.51 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
43.1%

Draw
31.1%

Oriental de La Paz
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

33.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Deportivo Maldonado - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Cesar R. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 0, Espindola M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6).

Maldonado has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oriental is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maldonado could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maldonado won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:3 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTWT
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.25	Artigas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.04.25	Oriental de La Paz - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0

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