Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 January 2023, Monday

Location: Pride Park (Derby)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Canada	Sportsnet
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Derby County		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.83
	4.35	3.7	1.85
	4.1	3.55	1.84
	4.43	3.73	1.85
	4	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.78	Watch
	4.4	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.94)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
22.2%

Draw
26.2%

West Ham United
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24.2%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

20%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and West Ham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.2%	10.8%	45.9%

Derby County - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 16 - 43.2%). West Ham will win (votes: 17 - 45.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 29.8% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Derby in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches West Ham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match West Ham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League One
24.01.23	Port Vale - Derby County	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Derby County - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Cheltenham Town - Derby County	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Derby County - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Derby County - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- West Ham United
English Premier League
21.01.23	West Ham United - Everton	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Brentford - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.23	Leeds United - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
30.12.22	West Ham United - Brentford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTL

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