Match Info

Date: 14 January 2022, Friday


	Dynamo Dresden		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.95	Watch
	4	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.45	1.93
	3.9	3.4	1.93
	4.07	3.67	1.96
	3.8	3.5	1.88
	3.9	3.64	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.89)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
24%

Draw
26.8%

Hamburger SV
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.8%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

16.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Dynamo Dresden have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dynamo Dresden - Hamburger SV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion)).

Dynamo Dresden has the most likely position - 14 (14.05%), has project points - 40, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hamburg has the most likely position - 3 (14.8%), has project points - 57, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Recent matches Dynamo Dresden is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Hamburg have a series of home games.

Hamburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
18.12.21	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
26.11.21	Jahn Regensburg - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
21.11.21	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLW
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
18.12.21	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
05.12.21	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Hamburger SV - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
20.11.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.08.21	Hamburger SV - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
German DFB Pokal
14.09.20	Dynamo Dresden - Hamburger SV	4:1
German 2 Bundesliga
12.06.20	Dynamo Dresden - Hamburger SV	0:1
23.11.19	Hamburger SV - Dynamo Dresden	2:1
11.02.19	Hamburger SV - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
18.09.18	Dynamo Dresden - Hamburger SV	0:1
Club Friendly
31.07.13	Dynamo Dresden - Hamburger SV	4:0

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