Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 4
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	15:00	Sport TV2
International	13:00	Onefootball


	Empoli		Avellino

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.15	3.55	Watch
	2.12	3.35	4.2
	2.08	3.32	3.56	Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.06	3.26	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.19)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	3.71 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
45.4%

Draw
29.2%

Avellino
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	47.4%	10.5%

Empoli - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Avellino (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fulignati A. (G) 34. Guarino G. 4. Romagnoli S. 20. Lovato M. 26. Candela A. 8. Magnino L. 14. Yepes G. 32. Haas N. (C) 15. Ceesay J. 19. Nasti M. 11. Shpendi S.	30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 56. Enrici P. 4. Izzo A. 63. Fontanarosa A. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. 39. Besaggio M. 20. Palumbo M. 9. Patierno C. (C) 14. Biasci T.
Substitutes
99. Bianchi F. 2. Curto M. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 7. Elia S. 17. Fila D. 18. Ghion A. 10. Ilie R. 27. Moruzzi B. 5. Obaretin N. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 70. Saporiti E.	21. Armellino M. 11. D'Andrea L. 99. Favilli A. 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 2. Missori F. 8. Pandolfi L. 10. Russo R. 53. Sassi J. (G) 18. Sgarbi L. 7. Tutino G.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Ballardini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
46', Haas N. 🟨,
54', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
57', Sounas D. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Lovato M. ⚽, Yepes G. (A),
65', Sounas D. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
65', Cancellotti T. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
69', Ceesay J. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
69', Haas N. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
72', Shpendi S. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Besaggio M. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
77', Elia S. 🟨,
83', Patierno C. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
83', Yepes G. 🟨,
84', Yepes G. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
84', Shpendi S. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
90+7', Fontanarosa A. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avellino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Empoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Avellino: Milani A. (Inactive) Reale F. (Muscle Injury) Simic L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Empoli: Ghion A. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Avellino	7	3	2	2	12:8	4	11
15	Empoli	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Avellino: 1.53% Empoli: 0.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Venezia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Padova - Empoli	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sampdoria - Empoli	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Empoli - Pescara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
24.04.26	Avellino - Bari	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mantova - Avellino	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Avellino - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Palermo - Avellino	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Avellino - Empoli	0:3
27.02.18	Empoli - Avellino	1:1
30.09.17	Avellino - Empoli	3:2
07.03.14	Empoli - Avellino	0:1
30.09.13	Avellino - Empoli	1:0

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