Match Info

Date: 14 March 2020, Saturday


	Everton		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.2
	1.68	3.5	4.35
	1.75	3.62	4.31
	1.76	3.82	4.58
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.81	3.78	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	3.6 ↑ (3.38)	4.4 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
53.2%

Draw
25.8%

Deportes La Serena
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

17.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	0%	8%

Everton - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: Everton will win (46 of 50 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.48% – 99.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
08.03.20	Chelsea - Everton	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
05.03.20	Universidad de Chile - Everton	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.03.20	Everton - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.02.20	Unión Española - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
23.02.20	Arsenal - Everton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTLL
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
07.03.20	Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
01.03.20	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
23.02.20	Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers	3:0 ✺
14.02.20	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
07.02.20	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.03.16	Everton - Deportes La Serena	0:2
19.12.15	Everton - Deportes La Serena	2:1
12.12.15	Deportes La Serena - Everton	0:0
14.10.15	Deportes La Serena - Everton	4:0
11.04.15	Deportes La Serena - Everton	0:1
25.01.15	Everton - Deportes La Serena	1:0
15.11.14	Everton - Deportes La Serena	2:0

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