The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Everton 56.8%
Draw 25.7%
Norwich City 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
23.3%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.7%
19.5%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Everton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.4%
4%
8.5%
Everton - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Everton will win
(174 of 199 users predict this - 87.44%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.84% โ 92.04%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Everton has the most likely position - 7 (9.3%), has project points - 54, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (34.7%), has project points - 30, has currently - 0, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Everton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Norwich is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Everton have a series of guest games.
Recently Norwich have a series of home games.
In this match Everton is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Everton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.