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Current Win Probability
Everton 57.3%
Draw 24.6%
Watford 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
23%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
13.9%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-21.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.2%
2.4%
5.4%
Everton - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
Everton will win
(153 of 166 users predict this - 92.17%). Confidence interval (95%): 88.08% โ 96.26%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16).
Everton has the most likely position - 8 (8.72%), has project points - 53, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (19.56%), has project points - 33, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
In this match Everton is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Everton won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.
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