Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	Bold+, Sport Live
France	beIN Sports MAX 9
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 1
Lithuania	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino
World	Onefootball


	Famalicão		Benfica

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.57	Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.55
	4.95	3.95	1.62	Watch
	5.54	4.17	1.63
	5.58	4.27	1.58	Watch
	5	3.9	1.6	Watch
	5.67	4.27	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (5.13)	4.09 ↑ (4.04)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
17.6%

Draw
23.1%

Benfica
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Famalicão - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 3. Realpe L. 16. De Haas J. 5. Rafa Soares 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 20. Sa G. (C) 7. Sorriso 12. Elisor S.	1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 20. Rios R. 25. Prestianni G. 18. Barreiro L. 21. Schjelderup A. 9. Ivanovic F.
Substitutes
9. Abubakar U. 18. Beney R. 2. Garcia 77. Joujou A. 36. Mattara M. 28. Pedro Bondo 8. Pena M. 80. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	6. Bah A. 5. Barrenechea E. 7. Bruma 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu 14. Pavlidis V. 27. Rafa Silva 24. Soares S. (G) 10. Sudakov G.
Coaches
Oliveira H.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Schjelderup A. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 0 - 2, Rios R. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Otamendi N. 🟥,
57', Prestianni G. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, De Amorim M. ⚽, Realpe L. (A),
72', Schjelderup A. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
72', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
72', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
74', Sa G. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Abubakar U. ⚽, De Amorim M. (A),
83', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
85', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
90+3', De Amorim M. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
90+9', Trubin A. 🟨,
90+12', Rios R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.

Famalicão is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benfica is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:33. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
26.04.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Braga - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Famalicão - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Famalicão - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTTW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
25.04.26	Benfica - Moreirense	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Benfica - Nacional	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Casa Pia - Benfica	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
22.12.25	Benfica - Famalicão	1:0
17.01.25	Benfica - Famalicão	4:0
11.08.24	Famalicão - Benfica	2:0
05.05.24	Famalicão - Benfica	2:0
29.12.23	Benfica - Famalicão	3:0
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Benfica - Famalicão	2:0
Liga Portugal
03.03.23	Benfica - Famalicão	2:0

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