The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Famalicão 60.2%
Draw 24%
Casa Pia 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
23.7%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
22.9%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
8%
12%
Famalicão - Casa Pia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Casa Pia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Famalicão will win
(20 of 25 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Famalicão will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 2. Garcia 55. Ba I. 16. De Haas J. 28. Pedro Bondo 20. Sa G. (C) 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 9. Abubakar U. 7. Sorriso
1. Sequeira P. (G) 43. Sousa D. 4. Goulart J. (C) 3. Kaly 19. Prieto K. 80. Ofori L. 8. Brito R. 5. Conte A. 13. Osundina K. 99. Mendes C. 29. Livolant J.
Substitutes
18. Beney R. 12. Elisor S. 77. Joujou A. 47. Pastor G. 8. Pena M. 5. Rafa Soares 3. Realpe L. 80. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
18. Geraldes A. 27. Kaique Rocha 95. Mandic I. (G) 11. Marques J. 24. Mohamed I. 21. Morais T. 42. Perez S. 10. Rocha Livramento D. 75. Rosas P.
Coaches
Oliveira H.
Pacheco A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Sa G. 🟨,
23', Pedro Bondo 🟨,
29', Kaly 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, De Amorim M. ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
40', Sousa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ofori L. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
58', Mendes C. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
65', Pedro Bondo ↓, Rafa Soares ↑,
65', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
65', De Haas J. 🟨,
79', Osundina K. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
79', Sousa D. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
81', Abubakar U. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
81', De Amorim M. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Joujou A. ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
85', Brito R. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
87', Van de Looi T. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Casa Pia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Famalicão is the team to beat.
There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Inactive)
Cassiano
(Yellow Cards)
Fonte J.
(Injury)
Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Larrazabal G.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Famalicão: Pinheiro R.
(Inactive)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Casa Pia: Perez S.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).