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Current Win Probability
Figueirense 51.7%
Draw 28.8%
Náutico Capibaribe 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
30.9%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
30.2%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Figueirense's performance.
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueirense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 90. Felipe Augusto 10. Gabriel Santiago 92. Iury 33. Jhony Douglas 8. Joao Lucas 22. Leonan 4. Ligger (C) 37. Lucas Dias 7. Nicolas 28. Rafinha Potiguar
19. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga 33. Carlinhos 23. Igor Fernandes 5. Igor Pereira 12. Kelvin 8. Marco Antonio 30. Marco Antonio 25. Mateus Silva 7. Vinicius
Substitutes
26. Douglas Bacelar 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 35. Flavio 9. Kayke 2. Leo Maia 11. Marlyson 13. Matheus Matias 20. Ramon Vinicius 79. Reifit 77. Renan 43. Roger Fellipo 17. Wellington Nem
18. Auremir 11. Helio Borges 13. Indio 10. Lucas Cardoso 17. Marcos Ytalo 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio 26. Raimar 1. Wellerson R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Rafinha Potiguar 🟨,
36', Leonan ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marco Antonio ↓, Auremir ↑,
57', Kelvin ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
57', Rafinha Potiguar ↓, Flavio ↑,
68', Joao Lucas ↓, Reifit ↑,
68', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Wellington Nem ↑,
68', Felipe Augusto ↓, Marlyson ↑,
70', Marco Antonio ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
79', Bruno Mezenga ↓, Paulo Sergio ↑,
79', Vinicius ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
86', Reifit 🟨,
90+5', Wellington Nem 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Figueirense is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Figueirense - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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