Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 3h 30m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	21:00	Meraj TV
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	17:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Armenia	20:30	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	20:30	AzTV, Setanta Sports 2
Belarus	19:30	Sport TV
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	13:30	Canal GOAT, SportyNet, Xsports
Bulgaria	18:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	00:30	Migu
Croatia	17:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN
Estonia	18:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	18:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	20:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	17:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	17:30	Match 4
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
India	22:00	ZEE5
Iran	20:00	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	18:30	Sport 4
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	17:30	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	18:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	10:30	FOX One, Tubi TV
Moldova	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	00:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North Macedonia	17:30	Arena Premium 3
Norway	17:30	Viaplay
Paraguay	13:30	ESPN 2
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	17:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	16:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	18:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	19:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	17:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	17:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	13:30	SCCN
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:30	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	23:30	AIS PLAY
Turkmenistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	18:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	16:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	NBC, Peacock, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	Freiburg		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	5.25	5.00	1.48	Watch
	5.00	5.00	1.53
	5.60	4.90	1.45
	5.85	5.14	1.51
	6.5	5.7	1.42	Watch
	5.45	5.00	1.47
	5.74	5.28	1.53	Watch
	5.60	5.20	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↓ (6.3)	5.15 ↓ (5.5)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
17%

Draw
18.5%

Bayern Munich
64.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15%

17.2%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

17.9%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	6.7%	73.3%

Freiburg - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Bayern will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.75 - Freiburg (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Bayern (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Bayern Munich & Yes (2.38) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 25%). Bayern (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.

Freiburg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bayern is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Freiburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Bayern: Buchmann T. (Knee Injury) Diaz L. (Muscle Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Knee Injury) Kimmich J. (Personal Reasons) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Freiburg: Engelhardt Y. (Injury) Yilmaz B. (Lacking Match Fitness).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Freiburg has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:56 (averaging 1:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Freiburg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 10:22 goals (averaging 1.1:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	22:5	17	14
3	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 81.19% Freiburg: 1.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.72%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Monaco - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Freiburg - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.10.26	Freiburg - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Freiburg - Luzern	4:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Viking Stavanger - Bayern Munich	3:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:3
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2
25.01.25	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	1:2
01.09.24	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	2:0
01.03.24	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:2
08.10.23	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	3:0
08.04.23	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	0:1

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