Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Freiburg		Köln

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	3.5	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.8
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.7	3.82
	2	3.66	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	2.05	3.79	3.58	Watch
	2	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)	3.63 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
47.6%

Draw
26.3%

Köln
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	6.9%	10.3%

Freiburg - Köln Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Freiburg (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Köln (1.84) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Köln (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 29. Treu P. 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 31. Matanovic I.	1. Schwabe M. (C) 17. Castro-Montes A. 28. Sebulonsen S. 33. van den Berg R. 32. Lund K. 29. Thielmann J. 5. Krauss T. 16. Kaminski J. 37. Maina L. 9. Ache R. 30. Bulter M.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 44. Manzambi J. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B.	13. El Mala S. 8. Huseinbasic D. 18. Johannesson I. 6. Martel E. 38. Niang Y. 39. Ozkacar C. 40. Schenten F. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rosenfelder M. (Own goal),
11', 1 - 1, Scherhant D. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kubler L. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
62', Krauss T. 🟨,
62', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
63', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
66', Matanovic I. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Thielmann J. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
69', Castro-Montes A. 🟨,
74', Scherhant D. 🟨,
76', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
76', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
77', Krauss T. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
77', Lund K. ↓, Martel E. ↑,
87', Maina L. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
87', van den Berg R. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.

Freiburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Köln has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10
14	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Köln - Mainz	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Lugano - Köln	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.08.25	Köln - Freiburg	4:1
04.05.24	Köln - Freiburg	0:0
17.12.23	Freiburg - Köln	2:0
29.04.23	Köln - Freiburg	0:1
06.11.22	Freiburg - Köln	2:0
05.02.22	Köln - Freiburg	1:0
11.09.21	Freiburg - Köln	1:1

Upcoming Matches