Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 25

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Frosinone		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2
	3.45	3.7	2.02	Watch
	3.65	3.6	2.06
	3.82	3.55	2.06
	3.5	3.7	1.91
	3.82	3.69	2.01	Watch
	3.55	3.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (3.76)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
26.4%

Draw
26.2%

Roma
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.7%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	11.8%	82.4%

Frosinone - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (56 of 68 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.29% – 91.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Turati S. (G) 20. Lirola P. 30. Monterisi I. 5. Okoli C. 32. Valeri E. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 4. Brescianini M. 18. Soule M. 12. Reinier 14. Gelli F. 9. Kaio Jorge	99. Svilar M. (G) 43. Kristensen R. 23. Mancini G. (C) 3. Huijsen D. 69. Angelino 4. Cristante B. 16. Paredes L. 35. Baldanzi T. 17. Azmoun S. 92. El Shaarawy S. 90. Lukaku R.
Substitutes
7. Baez J. 45. Barrenechea E. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 1. Frattali P. (G) 21. Harroui A. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 13. Kamensek-Pahic M. 17. Kvernadze G. 8. Seck D.	22. Aouar H. 63. Boer P. (G) 52. Bove E. 19. Celik Z. 21. Dybala P. 2. Karsdorp R. 14. Llorente D. 1. Patricio R. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 20. Sanches R. 6. Smalling C. 37. Spinazzola L. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	De Rossi D.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 0.

Frosinone is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Roma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Frosinone: Cuni M. (Injury) Ghedjemis F. (Injury) Marchizza R. (Muscle Injury) Oyono A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Abraham T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Bonifazi K. (Injury) Kalaj S. (Injury) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Zortea N. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
11.02.24	Fiorentina - Frosinone	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Frosinone - Milan	2:3 ✺
28.01.24	Verona - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Frosinone - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Atalanta - Frosinone	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL
- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Feyenoord - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.02.24	Roma - Inter Milan	2:4 ✺
05.02.24	Roma - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
29.01.24	Salernitana - Roma	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.10.23	Roma - Frosinone	2:0
Club Friendly
09.09.20	Frosinone - Roma	1:4
Italian Serie A
23.02.19	Frosinone - Roma	2:3
26.09.18	Roma - Frosinone	4:0
30.01.16	Roma - Frosinone	3:1
12.09.15	Frosinone - Roma	0:2

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