Match Info

K League 1 - Round 31

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Gwangju		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.62	Watch
	4.50	4.20	1.63
	4.3	3.8	1.62
	4.91	4.33	1.69
	4.62	4.21	1.64	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.62
	4.41	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.95	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (4.49)	4.1 ↑ (4.03)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
20.6%

Draw
22.7%

Ulsan HD
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.2%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gwangju - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 12th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 2.

Gwangju is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ulsan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ulsan carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gwangju has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:27 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gwangju against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 0.8:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	30	14	5	11	45:40	5	47
12	Gwangju FC	30	1	12	17	21:63	-42	15

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.98%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
20.09.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gwangju - Anyang	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Gwangju - Jeju	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Gwangju - FC Seoul	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTLTL
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
19.09.26	Anyang - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ulsan HD - FC Seoul	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
05.07.26	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	1:1
19.04.26	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	5:1
22.11.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	2:0
18.10.25	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	2:0
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	1:0
South Korean K-League 1
28.05.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	1:1
02.05.25	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	3:0

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