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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 19.9%
Draw 23.7%
Caernarfon Town 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
23.4%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
22.5%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
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2
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Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Haverfordwest may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Caernarfon is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Haverfordwest has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Haverfordwest against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
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