Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 13
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Philippines	beIN Connect
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 15
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Hearts		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.35
	2.85	3.25	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.14	3.42	2.35
	3.02	3.45	2.25	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.16	3.46	2.32
	3.1	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.6)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	2.25 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
30.1%

Draw
28%

Heidenheim
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

26.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23.9%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Hearts - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gordon C. (G) 35. Forrester A. 2. Kent F. 3. Kingsley S. 29. Penrice J. 18. Boateng M. 6. Baningime B. 16. Spittal B. 17. Forrest A. 9. Shankland L. (C) 20. Dhanda Y.	1. Muller K. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 30. Theuerkauf N. 33. Maloney L. 31. Conteh S. 21. Beck A. 20. Kerber L. 29. Kaufmann M. 14. Breunig M.
Substitutes
27. Boyce L. 28. Clark Z. (G) 14. Devlin C. 7. Grant J. 4. Halkett C. 10. McKay B. 5. Oyegoke D. 15. Rowles K. 80. Salazar A. 25. Tait M. 77. Vargas K. 21. Wilson J.	39. Dorsch N. 22. Eicher V. (G) 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 5. Gimber B. 17. Honsak M. 36. Janes L. 18. Pieringer M. 3. Schoppner J. 8. Scienza L. 23. Traore O. H. 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Critchley N.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Busch M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
42', Maloney L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kaufmann M. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Conteh S. ⚽, Honsak M. (A),
62', Conteh S. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
64', Dhanda Y. ↓, Vargas K. ↑,
64', Baningime B. ↓, Devlin C. ↑,
77', Boateng M. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
77', Forrest A. ↓, Oyegoke D. ↑,
83', Beck A. ↓, Schoppner J. ↑,
83', Breunig M. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Schoppner J. ⚽, Traore O. H. (A),

Preview

Hearts is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heidenheim is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Heidenheim have a series of guest games.

Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Hearts: Nieuwenhof C. (Muscle Injury) Oda Y. (Injury) Taylor Dosman G. G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Injury) Janes L. (Shoulder Injury) Keller T. (Knee Injury) Theuerkauf N. (Foot Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
02.11.24	St. Johnstone - Hearts	1:2 ✺
30.10.24	Hearts - Kilmarnock	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Hibernian - Hearts	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Hearts - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
19.10.24	Hearts - St. Mirren	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.10.24	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Paphos - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL

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