Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hoffenheim		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.89	3.6	4
	1.96	3.6	3.8
	1.99	3.66	3.95
	1.95	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.68	3.84	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.98)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	3.89 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
49%

Draw
26.5%

Schalke 04
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

25.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.3%	18.4%	14.3%

Hoffenheim - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 33 - 67.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 54.2% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 14 (19.71%), project points - 34, currently - 25, a small chance of relegated (15%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.

Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (39.23%), project points - 29, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (69%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 63, importance 63, match rating 63. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 41-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
02.04.23	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Schalke 04
German Bundesliga
01.04.23	Schalke 04 - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3 ✺
18.03.23	Augsburg - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Bochum - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Schalke 04 - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Hoffenheim - Schalke 04	5:1
German Bundesliga
14.10.22	Schalke 04 - Hoffenheim	0:3
08.05.21	Hoffenheim - Schalke 04	4:2
09.01.21	Schalke 04 - Hoffenheim	4:0
07.03.20	Schalke 04 - Hoffenheim	1:1
20.10.19	Hoffenheim - Schalke 04	2:0
20.04.19	Schalke 04 - Hoffenheim	2:5

Upcoming Matches