Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Werder Bremen		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.84	3.8	4.63
	1.86	3.78	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.86	4.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.04)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	4.42 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

Hamburger SV
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamburger SV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamburger SV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	38.1%	19%

Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hamburg (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 50%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 31. Coulibaly K. 2. Deman O. 11. Njinmah J. 6. Stage J. (C) 14. Lynen S. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 19. Milosevic J.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. (C) 25. Torunarigha J. 17. Omari W. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 23. Gronbaek A. 21. Remberg N. 28. Muheim M. 20. Vieira F. 9. Glatzel R. 11. Konigsdorffer R.
Substitutes
10. Bittencourt L. 24. Covic P. 17. Grull M. 25. Kolke M. (G) 7. Mbangula S. 29. Musah S. 23. Schmidt I. 4. Stark N. 39. Wober M.	19. Downs D. 8. Elfadli D. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 18. Jatta B. 43. Nandja S. 27. Otele P. 14. Philippe R. 49. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G)
Coaches
Thioune D.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Stage J. ⚽, Sugawara Y. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Glatzel R. ⚽, Capaldo N. (A),
45', Deman O. 🟨,
45', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Stage J. ⚽, Puertas C. (A),
58', Muheim M. 🟨,
61', Milosevic J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
66', Gronbaek A. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
67', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
71', Sugawara Y. 🟨,
73', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
75', Muheim M. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
75', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
79', Otele P. 🟥,
82', Grull M. 🟨,
83', Capaldo N. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
89', Jatta B. 🟨,
89', Njinmah J. ↓, Stark N. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Puertas C. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Werder could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Friedl M. (Red Card) Hein K. (Hand Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Topp K. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Foot Injury) Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Stage J. (Muscle Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Lokonga A. S. (Thigh Injury) Vuskovic L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Werder won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10:10	0	8
11	Hamburger SV	5	2	0	3	5:15	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW
- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
07.12.25	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
27.02.22	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	2:3
18.09.21	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	0:2
German Bundesliga
24.02.18	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	1:0
30.09.17	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	0:0
16.04.17	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	2:1
26.11.16	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	2:2

Upcoming Matches