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Current Win Probability
IFK Mariehamn 16.4%
Draw 21.4%
Lahti 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
22.6%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
21.7%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
8.3%
83.3%
IFK Mariehamn - Lahti Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahti (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Mariehamn (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lahti will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 50%). Lahti (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lund K. (G) 28. Nissinen J. 5. Koivisto T. 4. Ward K. 3. Soiniemi A. 20. Patut E. 23. Widlund V. 11. Svedberg J. (C) 15. Jakobsen T. 18. Stroud A. 16. Huttunen A.
31. Maukonen O. (G) 27. Yapi R. 4. Muller J. 6. Vehkonen V. 3. Sans R. 14. Andersson E. (C) 18. Cassubie Y. 10. Koskinen O. 77. Sarr M. 19. Neemias 11. Martim Augusto
Substitutes
43. Andersson L. 14. Bergvik A. 8. Heyden J. 7. Larsson A. 31. Ngulube S. 9. Nunez W. 2. Nurmi N. 32. Riikonen M. (G)
17. Belabid A. 12. Hakala A. (G) 7. Heikkinen D. 25. Inkinen T. 28. Kabashi A. 9. Lindholm A. 20. Ojanen J.
Coaches
Bjorknesjo R.
Pereira G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Cassubie Y. ⚽, Sans R. (A),
30', Ward K. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
42', Sans R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Nurmi N. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Neemias ⚽, Martim Augusto (A),
62', Huttunen A. ↓, Bergvik A. ↑,
62', Widlund V. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
62', Nissinen J. ↓, Monteiro R. ↑,
69', Martim Augusto ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
76', Koskinen O. ↓, Lindholm A. ↑,
76', Neemias ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
83', Koivisto T. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
84', Svedberg J. 🟨,
86', Vehkonen V. ↓, Inkinen T. ↑,
86', Andersson E. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
Mariehamn is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
Mariehamn has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lahti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Lahti is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Mariehamn: Dosis N.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Lahti: Gianini Dantas N.
(Yellow Cards)
Montiel C.
(Yellow Cards)
We predict that Lahti will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Lund K. (G) 
Nissinen J. 
Jakobsen T. 
Yapi R. 
Muller J. 
Neemias 
Heyden J. 
Ngulube S. 
