Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Referee: Ropponen A. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Ilves		Lahti

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.87
	2.18	3.60	3.00
	2.37	3.65	3.05
	2.28	3.62	2.96	Watch
	2.3	3.45	3
	2.34	3.39	2.87	Watch
	2.18	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	2.94 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
41.2%

Draw
26.7%

Lahti
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Ilves - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ilves (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 13. Wallius K. 24. Kumpu V. 5. Vaisanen S. (C) 3. Rale M. 6. Raap Y. 8. Stjopin M. 22. Multala O. 14. Popovitch A. 45. Tamminen E. 9. Hytonen T.	31. Maukonen O. (G) 7. Heikkinen D. 5. Gianini Dantas N. (C) 6. Vehkonen V. 25. Inkinen T. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 14. Andersson E. 77. Sarr M. 9. Lindholm A. 20. Ojanen J.
Substitutes
15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 19. Bamba G. 17. Baranov S. 11. Coulibaly H. 28. Kilo J. 27. Kouakou F. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 16. Miettunen T. 33. Sacko Y.	17. Belabid A. 12. Hakala A. (G) 28. Kabashi A. 10. Koskinen O. 2. Lehtonen J. 11. Martim Augusto 19. Neemias 3. Sans R.
Coaches
Lehtonen J.	Pereira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gianini Dantas N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Ojanen J. 🟨,
65', Popovitch A. ↓, Sacko Y. ↑,
65', Andersson E. ↓, Koskinen O. ↑,
65', Raap Y. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
65', Multala O. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
73', Sarr M. ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
73', Ojanen J. ↓, Martim Augusto ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Martim Augusto ⚽, Belabid A. (A),
78', Cassubie Y. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Hytonen T. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Hytonen T. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
80', Rale M. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
80', Lindholm A. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
82', Ala-Myllymaki L. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Baranov S. ⚽, Tamminen E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.

Recent form of Ilves has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lahti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.

Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lahti: Muller J. (Yellow Cards) Yapi R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.09.26	Ilves - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Gnistan - Ilves	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Ilves - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLT
- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.09.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	SJK - Lahti	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Inter Turku - Lahti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.26	Ilves - Lahti	1:0
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	Ilves - Lahti	5:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	Lahti - Ilves	5:0
29.06.24	Lahti - Ilves	2:2
06.04.24	Ilves - Lahti	0:0
21.10.23	Lahti - Ilves	1:5
03.09.23	Lahti - Ilves	3:2

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